The “emissions peak by 2040” scenario represents a possible future in which global greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise until 2040, followed by delayed but rapid reductions. It reflects delayed policy action and results in moderate physical and high transition risks.
EarthScan includes an “Emissions peak by 2040” scenario to help companies understand the consequences of late mitigation including increased volatility and greater regulatory pressure later on.
This middle-ground scenario helps decision-makers assess the cost of delayed action. It supports stress-testing under uncertain policy futures, especially in transition risk planning.