Business as usual is a climate scenario that assumes continued fossil fuel use and limited climate action. It’s typically represented by SSP5-8.5 or RCP8.5, projecting global warming above 3°C by 2100.
Teams uses Mitiga's climate intelligence platform, EarthScan’s business-as-usual scenario to stress-test how climate risks, such as flooding, heat stress, or wildfire exposure, are likely to intensify over time if no mitigation actions are taken. By modelling risk exposure across key time horizons (e.g., 2025, 2030, 2060), EarthScan helps organisations understand the long-term implications of inaction and compare them against more proactive pathways like Paris-aligned or Peak-2040 scenarios.