Glossary
Multiple Futures Model
Multiple Futures Model (MFM)
Which climate risk platform is right for your business?
CONTENTS
The Multiple Futures Model (MFM) is EarthScan’s advanced probabilistic simulation framework that quantifies climate-related risks across multiple plausible development and emissions scenarios. Instead of relying on a single deterministic forecast, MFM generates comprehensive risk assessments that account for uncertainty in future climate conditions, including the variability of policy choices, socioeconomic pathways, and Earth system responses.
Example in context
MFM is EarthScan’s (Mitiga Solutions' climate intelligence platform) advanced probabilistic framework for assessing climate-related risks across multiple plausible scenarios. It enables comprehensive, uncertainty-aware risk analysis to support resilient decision-making.
Why it matters
Traditional climate risk assessments often rely on a single projection, which can obscure the full spectrum of potential outcomes. MFM addresses this limitation by offering:
- Location-specific risk projections tailored to individual assets or regions
- Temporal analysis from near-term to end-of-century
- Return periods and uncertainty intervals for all major climate hazards
- Scenario-based insights to support robust decision-making under uncertainty
By embracing uncertainty and planning for multiple outcomes, MFM empowers organisations to meet disclosure requirements, strengthen climate resilience, and make science-based decisions with confidence.
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