Glossary
Lava Catastrophe Model

Lava Catastrophe Model

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Definition

What is a lava catastrophe model? A lava catastrophe model analyses how lava flows from volcanic eruptions may travel across the landscape and which locations could be affected. Mitiga’s proprietary lava cat model is built on eruption catalogues and probabilistic lava flow simulations and estimates the probability that lava could reach specific assets or areas.

Example in context

An energy company uses a lava catastrophe model to assess whether power infrastructure near an active volcano could be affected by lava flows.

Why it matters

Lava flows can permanently damage buildings and infrastructure beyond repair or recovery and disrupt critical services. Understanding lava flow risk through hazard maps and asset-level metrics helps organisations plan investments, protect assets, structure risk-transfer solutions and strengthen long-term resilience.

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